The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to end its 27-year drought and regain power in Delhi, according to recent exit polls. Voting for the Delhi Assembly elections 2025 took place on February 5, across 70 assembly seats.
The Key Players and Their Strategies:
- Aam Aadmi Party (AAP): AAP has emphasized its governance record, particularly its welfare programs in health and education. AAP’s campaign highlighted its work in electricity, water, and education.
- Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP): The BJP, backed by national leaders like Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah, criticized AAP over corruption and law-and-order issues. The BJP campaign promised aid to women and highlighted national progress.
- Congress Party: Congress sought to revive its presence, targeting both AAP and BJP.
Key Points from the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025:
- Accusations of Poaching: Arvind Kejriwal has accused the BJP of trying to lure AAP candidates by offering them ministerial positions and large sums of money if they switch parties. Atishi also suggested that exit polls predicting a BJP win were a conspiracy to demoralize AAP candidates.
- Historical Context: In the 2020 elections, AAP won 62 seats, BJP secured eight, and Congress failed to win any.
- Diverging Predictions: While most exit polls released on Wednesday, February 5th projected a comfortable win for the BJP, WeePreside, and Mind Brink projected a win for AAP. Axis My India, Today’s Chanakya, and CNX released their predictions on Thursday.
Key Predictions from Exit Polls
- Today’s Chanakya: Projects BJP to win 51 seats (+/- 6), while AAP is expected to win 19 seats (+/- 6).
- CNX: Predicts BJP to win 49-61 seats, with AAP winning 10-19 seats. Congress is expected to have little to no influence, potentially winning 0-1 seat.
- Axis My India: Forecasts BJP to win 45-55 seats, and AAP to secure 15-25 seats. Congress is projected to win a maximum of one seat.
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Other Exit Poll Projections
|
S.No. |
Exit poll agency | AAP | BJP |
Congress |
| 1 | ABP-Chanakya Strategies |
25-28 |
39-44 |
2-3 |
| 2 | Matrize |
32-27 |
35-40 |
0-1 |
| 3 | P Marq |
21-31 |
39-49 |
0-1 |
| 4 | People’s Pulse |
10-19 |
51-60 |
0 |
| 5 | People’s Insight |
25-29 |
40-44 |
1 |
| 6 | JVC |
22-31 |
39-45 |
0-2 |
| 7 | Poll Diary |
18-25 |
42-50 |
0-2 |
| 8 | DV Research |
26-34 |
36-44 |
0 |
| 9 | Wee Preside |
46-52 |
18-23 |
0-1 |
| 10 | Mind Brink |
44-49 |
21-25 |
0-1 |
| POLL OF POLLS |
26 |
43 |
1 |
Reactions to Exit Polls
- BJP MP Kamaljeet Sehrawat expressed confidence that the party’s performance would surpass exit poll predictions, stating that Delhi residents are disheartened by the lack of progress from AAP’s two terms.
- Rajya Sabha MP Swati Maliwal (AAP) suggested waiting for the actual results, cautioning that exit polls are premature and can be inaccurate.
Important Considerations
- Exit polls have a history of being unreliable. The final results may differ from the predictions.
- The Election Commission is set to announce the official results on February 8.
Voter Turnout
- Delhi recorded a voter turnout of 59.71% in the assembly elections. This is lower than the 62.59% turnout in 2020, when AAP won 62 of the 70 seats, while BJP secured eight, and Congress failed to win any.
Potential Candidates
- According to surveys, AAP’s Arvind Kejriwal is the first choice for Chief Minister, followed by BJP’s Parvesh Verma and Manoj Tiwari.
Key Candidates in the Fray:
Several high-profile candidates contested in key constituencies:
- New Delhi: Arvind Kejriwal (AAP) vs. Parvesh Verma (BJP) vs. Sandeep Dikshit (Congress).
- Kalkaji: Atishi (AAP) vs. Ramesh Bidhuri (BJP) vs. Alka Lamba (Congress).
- Jangpura: Manish Sisodia (AAP).
- Shakur Basti: Satyendra Jain (AAP) vs Karnail Singh (BJP).
- Patparganj: Awadh Ojha (AAP) vs Ravinder Singh Negi (BJP) vs Anil Chaudhary (Congress).
- Malviya Nagar: Somnath Bharti (AAP) vs Satish Upadhyay (BJP) vs Jitendra Kumar Kochar (Congress).
Key Parties and Leaders Campaigning:
- AAP: Led by Arvind Kejriwal and Atishi, relying on their governance record and welfare initiatives. Arvind Kejriwal stepped down temporarily due to the excise policy corruption case.
- BJP: Backed by PM Modi, Amit Shah, and JP Nadda, focusing on corruption allegations against AAP. The BJP organized 22 major roadshows and rallies across the city.
- Congress: Led by Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, aiming to revive their presence in Delhi.
Potential Chief Ministerial Candidates:
- Arvind Kejriwal (AAP): Contested from New Delhi and is the current Chief Minister seeking a third term.
- Parvesh Verma (BJP): Contested from New Delhi, son of former Delhi Chief Minister Sahib Singh Verma.
- Sandeep Dikshit (Congress): Contested from New Delhi, son of former Delhi CM Sheila Dikshit.
Crucial Dates and Information:
- Voting Date: February 5, 2025.
- Result Date: February 8, 2025.
- Total Assembly Seats: 70. A party needs at least 36 seats to form the government in Delhi.
The final outcome of the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 remains to be seen, with the official results set to be announced on February 8th.
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